Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.005598 0.005917 0.006247 0.006615 0.007015 0.007438 0.007919
2026-02-01 0.005154 0.005629 0.006144 0.006750 0.007445 0.008223 0.009166
2026-02-08 0.004793 0.005346 0.005967 0.006720 0.007619 0.008666 0.009996
2026-02-15 0.004534 0.005143 0.005842 0.006715 0.007789 0.009085 0.010796
2026-02-22 0.004277 0.004915 0.005663 0.006618 0.007823 0.009321 0.011367
2026-03-01 0.004062 0.004722 0.005508 0.006531 0.007852 0.009537 0.011911
2026-03-08 0.003915 0.004599 0.005427 0.006526 0.007976 0.009872 0.012629
2026-03-15 0.003694 0.004373 0.005205 0.006324 0.007824 0.009824 0.012803
2026-03-22 0.003594 0.004292 0.005161 0.006347 0.007968 0.010181 0.013573
2026-03-29 0.003525 0.004248 0.005159 0.006422 0.008183 0.010645 0.014534
2026-04-05 0.003407 0.004134 0.005059 0.006359 0.008200 0.010822 0.015068
2026-04-12 0.003321 0.004057 0.005005 0.006354 0.008295 0.011115 0.015803
2026-04-19 0.003220 0.003959 0.004919 0.006301 0.008321 0.011309 0.016402
2026-04-26 0.003191 0.003954 0.004959 0.006428 0.008615 0.011932 0.017773
2026-05-03 0.003110 0.003876 0.004895 0.006400 0.008675 0.012190 0.018540
2026-05-10 0.003042 0.003813 0.004848 0.006396 0.008768 0.012502 0.019431
2026-05-17 0.002949 0.003714 0.004747 0.006305 0.008721 0.012583 0.019900
2026-05-24 0.002865 0.003624 0.004655 0.006224 0.008685 0.012675 0.020397
2026-05-31 0.002809 0.003571 0.004615 0.006219 0.008767 0.012973 0.021319
2026-06-07 0.002699 0.003440 0.004458 0.006030 0.008544 0.012728 0.021139
2026-06-14 0.002659 0.003405 0.004439 0.006052 0.008664 0.013091 0.022227
2026-06-21 0.002635 0.003393 0.004452 0.006122 0.008868 0.013613 0.023710
2026-06-28 0.002575 0.003327 0.004384 0.006063 0.008851 0.013734 0.024340